Talks and presentations

Imputation of full birth histories to census data

December 06, 2021

Conference proceedings, 2021 International Population Conference, On-line only

This presentation discusses a method for making detailed fertility estimates from a census age distribution. First, I describe the method and then I illustrate its potential using some results for four Eastern and Southern African countries. The method was first proposed by Luther and Cho in 1998 and can be thought of as an elaboration of the Own-Children Method of estimating fertility. The key idea is to supplement information on the ages of women’s own children with information from the summary birth history (“Brass”) questions about how many children individual woman have borne in total and how many of their children have since died.

Deaths in the Family - Inaugural professorial lecture at LSHTM

February 26, 2008

Lecture, SOAS, London, UK

The first half of the lecture reviews some of the research I have been involved in aimed at improving our understanding of the demographic impact of the AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa. In essence, this research seeks to establish how many people are dying of AIDS in Africa and who they are. The second half of the lecture, on the other hand, is concerned with research that is trying to learn a bit more about the socioeconomic impact of the AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa. In essence, this research aims to learn a bit more about the impact of the AIDS epidemic on poverty and on the development process.